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A couple of months ago we had a quick look at the impact of the Unite strike on BA. In the past month, the airline has made a couple of key announcements including news on its proposed merger with Iberia and forecasts it would break even by the end of the year, despite posting a Q1 loss. There have also been several comments on, and about, Twitter. So it’s been a good time to revisit the UK’s leading airline to gauge the mood in social media.
A bit of social media monitoring using Sentiment Metric’s system helped us to make sense of, and measure, the key drivers of the BA discussion during July. We monitored thousands of mentions in real-time.
The research was tailored to buzz volumes, the BA discussion, trending topics and the key drivers of positive and negative sentiment. We also added a human touch to our research to interpret and assess the valuable information generated by our system.
Figure 1: Buzz volumes for the BA discussion – 1/7 to 31/7
Figure 2: Sentiment expressed towards BA in social media – 1/7 to 31/7
So, what’s the mood been like in social media?
In terms of sentiment, there were a couple of stand-out peaks during the month, which generally mirrored the significant spikes in buzz volumes. These included positive comment on news-driven topics such as EU approval of BA’s merger with Iberia (14/7) and excitement that passengers could for the first time check in using an iPhone app (19/7).
On the merger, BA CEO Willie Walsh said: “We await the DOT’s final decision, but welcome this important and vital step forward.” (CNN 14/7)
airnewz (19/7) tweeted: ‘Wow… blogger gets all excited because british airways passengers can use iPhone to board’.
Figure 3: Topic cloud for the BA discussion – 1/7 to 31/7
Looking at the topic cloud, we noticed Twitter was a trending topic in itself. BA’s move to add details of its micro-blog account on boarding passes was one of the key drivers of mentions (20/7).
But, there were also negative mentions, reflected in a spike on 5 July. These included furious tweets from cricketer Shane Warne.
Warne said: “I hate British airways, way to arrogant and rude towards people!! Will not be flying with them again after my return from Vegas.” (Sky News 6/7)
The failed strike negotiations (20/7) and prospects of passenger disruption also generated less favourable mentions.
The airline’s quarterly loss (30/7) sparked a mixed response. The negative sentiment score by our system was high regarding its £122m Q1 loss. However, this was countered by a positive message from BA that it was in recovery and forecast to break even by the end of the year.
Alistair Osborne on Telegraph.co.uk (30/7) pointed out the strike action had cost the airline £150m during the quarter: ‘No business can carry on like that’ and talked of recent ‘carnage’.
On the flipside, Osborne acknowledged that striking staff might eventually pick up on the fact ‘… they are working for a business finally going somewhere’. BA posted a ’surprisingly strong’ hike in revenues from seats at 13.5% and the outlook remained positive buoyed by its merger with Iberia, a deal with American Airlines and its non-reliance on a cyclical recovery. There could well be blue skies ahead for BA.
It was early doors, but all the signs were there: World Cup fans have already gone Twitter mad.
The micro-blog buckled under the weight of tweets in the build-up to the first match on 11 June. The site had already experienced a few outages and had to post an explanation on the technical difficulties which led to its poor performance. (Twitter.com 11/6)
The Twitter team went on to warn: “As more people turn to Twitter to see what’s happening in the world (or in the World Cup), you may still see the whale when there are unprecedented spikes in traffic“. (Twitter.com 11/6)
During the opening game between hosts South Africa and Mexico, CNN.com’s Twitter buzz counted around 300,000 tweets. (NewTeeVee 11/6)
We’re monitoring the impact of social media on the World Cup, so had a quick look at the buzz driving the surge on Twitter on 11 June. By drilling down by channel, we were able to generate the top 75 lead topics on the micro-blog. This enabled us to analyse the noise-to-signal ratio of tweets and filter conversations which kicked off debates which would linger longer than many hangovers.
Figure 1: Twitter topic cloud – 11/6
For example, a quick click on mentions of The Guardian in the topic cloud led us to a discussion about football fans and brewers joining forces to fight a hike in beer tax during the tournament.
In terms of sentiment on Twitter (11/6):
There were 2015 positive mentions, 3561 neutral mentions and 331 negative mentions.
Most of the positive chatter was driven by sheer exuberance that the World Cup was starting.
The arrest of the head of Rwanda’s Football Federation, Brig-Gen Jean Bosco Kazura, for attempting to leave the country without permission was one of the key negative mentions. The soldier was heading to the World Cup.
So, what’s on the horizon?
In the weeks leading up to the first match, the Vuvuzela topped Mashable’s Twitter Trends chart (12/6). The plastic stadium horn sounds like a drone of bees – music to some ears – worse than tinnitus to others – musical Marmite.
As the teams got down to business, France captain Patrice Evra complained that he couldn’t sleep because of the Vuvuzela racket. The Serb team complained that the din impacted their concentration and they gave away a ’stupid’ penalty during the Ghana game, (Yahoo.com 13/6). FIFA had already considered banning the horns. It’ll be interesting to see how this one plays out.
If first-day traffic numbers for Twitter are an indication of what’s to come, then it seems there will at least be a micro-blog pitch invasion at this year’s World Cup.
p.s. There was another link last week to an old report on BBC News’ popular stories. This time it was a report on a sponsorship settlement between FIFA and Mastercard – from 2007! (BBC News 21/6/07)
Wonder if this issue will be resuscitated by social media, just like the Mars story? (See post on 10 June – Why was Mars back in the conversation?)
In a week when co-operation and partnership were the buzz words in Westminster, the stand-off between BA and Unite showed no signs of cooling. 11th-hour talks to stop a five-day strike, due to start 24 May, collapsed over the weekend and the strike went ahead. Both sides were in deadlock.
It was also the week when Twitter joined the fray. The airline’s boss Willie Walsh criticised Unite joint leader Derek Simpson for tweeting live details of Saturday’s talks. The row added to a wider debate on using the micro-blog in official meetings, and elsewhere, Coalition ministers have already been told to leave their BlackBerrys at the Cabinet office door.
So what’s happening? And, what’s the real impact of the strike? A bit of social media monitoring using Sentiment Metric’s system helped us to make sense of, and measure, the impact the strike was having on BA, Unite, and the airline’s passengers. We looked at online news and social media.
We were able to look at buzz levels around the dispute, influencial sources in the discussion, what everyone was talking about and also look at whether comment on the strike was positive, neutral or negative. We also added a human touch to our research to interpret and assess the valuable information generated by our system.
Figure 1: Buzz volumes for the strike – 20/5 to 26/5
We monitored thousands of mentions, in real-time, across the BA discussion, and tailored our research to mentions of BA, Unite and the strike. One of the first things we noticed was a spike in coverage on 23 May when buzz volumes peaked at 579 across all channels.
Our industry-leading custom reporting tool generated the top 75 lead topics for the strike over the reporting period. It showed that the Unite union’s negotiations with BA to settle the dispute dominated coverage. On 20 May, the High Court over-ruled an injunction that had stopped the planned walk-out by cabin crew.
And, the great thing about our system is we can track people, products, services, industry terms and over 300 types of other entities. We are not limited to single word phrasing in the topic cloud. So, as you can see in the chart below, we picked up topics such as ‘industrial dispute mediator’ and ‘High Court’ in the lead topics.
Interestingly, there wasn’t a mention of passengers in the lead topics but the effect of industrial action on the airline’s passengers was discussed. Some human analysis across our system showed a focus on the disruption many passengers faced as the strike went ahead. (politics.co.uk 23/5)
Figure 2: Topic cloud for the strike – 20/5 to 26/5
Figure 3: Topic cloud for the strike on Twitter – 20/5 to 26/5
The custom reporting tool also enabled us to analyse the lead topics on any day, on any channel. Two phrases on Twitter jumped out: the reference to a web campaign heating up and a ‘brutal web war’.
So, who was driving the discussion?
There was certainly a lot of noise on Twitter, which led the pack in terms of mentions with 49.8 per cent share of voice. This was among the top ten influencial sources. In terms of authority, our social media measurement system scored BBC News as highest with a 19.4 per cent share of voice.
Figure 4: Top influencial sources for the strike – by mentions – 20/5 to 26/5
Figure 5: Sentiment for the strike – 20/5 to 26/5
Over the reporting period, our system analysed over 1500 mentions of BA, Unite and the strike for sentiment. The results across all channels were:
27.8 per cent of mentions were scored as positive
53.4 per cent of mentions were scored as neutral
18.8 per cent of mentions were scored as negative
There was positive sentiment to news that Unite won its appeal against a High-Court injunction on Thursday. (BBC News 20/5)
BA attracted positive sentiment on news that it had successfully run 65 per cent of 65 per cent of flights in May. (gather.com 23/5)
But, there was a negative tone to comments on BA’s balance sheet and there were many referencing to the fact that BA was a loss-making airline. For example, LA Times (25/5)
A passenger post on Digital spy talked of the ‘buffoons’ at Unite taking at action at the ‘world’s worse’ airport – Heathrow. (Digital Spy 21/5)
We also noticed a spike in negative mentions on 23 May and we found that these were driven by syndicated comments from Unite joint general secretary Tony Woodley. The union leader said there had been a “catastrophic breakdown” in relations as the deadline for the first strike neared.
Using the custom reporting tool, we could also drill down and look at sentiment on individual channels such as Twitter.
Figure 5: Sentiment for the strike on Twitter – 20/5 to 26/5
The spike in positive sentiment on 20 May was driven by chatter on Unite’s High Court victory.
The spike in negative coverage on 23 May was driven by chatter about the protestors that stormed the talks.
Talks on 26 May to end the next wave of strikes on 30 May were postponed until Friday. It is difficult to predict the final outcome of this bitter dispute. The question is will either side be declared a winner in the end?
